Democrats Running In Tight Races As Republicans Employ More Bigotry
While recent surveys indicate tight races for many politicians, lack of trust in polls is palpable. Meanwhile, political hate continues unabated
In Texas, polling shows the Texas Governor’s race to be much closer than many anticipated. In one of the most watched elections in the country, Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke is showing promise as early voting began on October 24. However, polling site Five-Thirty-Eight has Governor Greg Abbott leading O’Rourke by 9 points based on an average of polls they have listed. Those polls range from a 3-point to a 13-point advantage for Gov. Abbott.
But the surveys from Univision/the Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs of the University of Texas and Beacon Research registered an Abbott lead of 4-points and 2-points respectively. Those and many others fall within the margin of error creating what constitutes a statistical tie. No, we shouldn’t trust polls. The broad range of numbers mentioned here is quite telling without delving much deeper than that.
Polls are largely based on who you ask using numbers that represent about 1,000 people in most cases and it’s become increasingly difficult to judge elections or the proverbial “kitchen table issues” accurately. Polls have consistently missed the mark by massive margins since about 2012. The elections of 2016 and 2020 were the most notable in recent years.
The Democratic Party is struggling to appease everyone under their so-called “big tent” largely because of this. They are, in my opinion, far too reliant on old methods that are inaccurate in acquiring accurate voter data. For the liberal coalition in the U.S., the focus is often shifted away from broader issues that affect the majority of voters.
The search for “the Latino vote” is a perfect example.
Then there are the Republicans. They have it easy because they only have to appeal…